Basic Technical Analysis: Drawing Lines

The purpose of this post is to show my thought process as it pertains to lines on a chart. Support and resistance lines are very important for getting good entries and exits. It’s also one of the few things I use and take into consideration when evaluating a stock or crypto. As you can see on the chart below, I’ve been drawing some lines on this recent Bitcoin price movement for the past couple days.

btc1hr.png

The first thing I noticed when I started drawing these lines two days ago was the descending wedge. You’ll notice that on the chart as the triangle pattern pointing down. The lower line of this pattern (support) is considered a good entry as long as it is towards the bottom of the pattern. You’ll see that as the pattern comes to a close, we see upwards price movement, which breaks the top line (resistance). Profit should be taken when the Stoch RSI appears to be capped out at the top (the bottom indicator on the chart).

After the significant retrace from that increase, I drew a line from the peak of this local pattern to the peak of the breakout from the falling wedge. I also drew a line along the bottom points to create two parallel lines, which makes a downward channel. The bottom line is support and the top line is resistance. After the retrace, we came back down to support for another touch on that line. BTC attempted another touch only hours later, but was rejected with significant buy support. This was my signal to get in. I saw signs of BTC bucking the downward channel. I entered the trade at that point and exited when we did see a spike towards the resistance. I played this one safe and exited before resistance because I thought it was possible that we might get rejected and continue down. I was able to make profit, but it turns out that I exited a little too early. That’s okay, though. Profit is profit. Don’t every weigh yourself down with what could have been.

Currently, we are seeing Bitcoin use the former resistance as support as we retrace from our breakout. What I am watching for here is if we fall back into the channel or if we bounce from here. This is a no-trade zone for me and I’ll be sitting on the sidelines until I see an opportunity. Sometimes the best trade is no trade at all.